Blazers catch one break too many:Is the Dynasty over before it begins?

In previous discussions I have often mentioned the one thing that will prevent the Blazers from a long run with a lot of success would be injuries. Greg Oden, LaMarcus Aldridge, Brandon Roy, Joel Przybilla, and Martell Webster are 5 players expected to make significant contributions for years to come who have one thing in common; they all have injury histories.

Oden has the well documented wrist and knee injuries. Roy suffered a variety of injuries the last 2 years that led to double digit games lost which is unfortunately a trend that was an extension of his College career. Aldridge suffers from plantar fasciitis which never goes away. Webster has an irregular heartbeat. Przybilla finds a different way to do it every time.

So when it was announced that Roy underwent surgery on...drum roll please...his KNEE, of all things, the hearts of Blazer fans were in their throats. No matter how many protestations that, "He had the same surgery on his other knee in college and only missed 3-1/2 weeks" come out of the official Blazer spokesmen, the Blazer fans hear, "We lost Oden to microfracture surgery last year, then Gilbert Arenas had the same thing as Roy and it took him out for a year. There is NO POSSIBLE GOOD OUTCOME!"

Relax, Blazer fan. There are a lot of good outcomes. Even in the unlikely event that Roy misses significant time this season, Portland is still in great shape. They have Rudy Fernandez and perhaps Jerryd Bayless ready to provide meaningful minutes at the Shooting Guard if needed. They have Sergio Rodriguez, Travis Outlaw, and Webster showing tremendous progress. And they have a revitalized Oden.

How revitalized is Oden? He inspired this exchange after he worked out with Channing Frye.

Reporter: "Did Oden look like he was favoring his knee?"
Frye: "No, he favors dunking on your head."

But back to my point. The possible good outcome even if preliminary reports that the arthroscopic surgery was successful are wrong is simple. Last year provides an excellent example.

When Aldridge missed a few games Roy called the team together and told them how they needed to respond in order to continue the success they had experienced. And they did. Frye stepped up. Webster stepped up. An extra rebound here, a steal there, a couple extra points and the entire team was picked up. Furthermore, it let the players figure out they could play well in his absence. The same thing held true when Roy missed a few games. They continued to win.

Will the same thing hold true for long stretches? Obviously not. A person would have to be a fool to believe the Blazers are as good without Roy as they are with him. But losing him for a few games is not the disaster some people would have you believe. Failing to resolve this now before it becomes serious as it did for Agent Zero would be disastrous. Losing him for a few games would give Portland a chance to see exactly what they have in Fernandez and to give Bayless more and more meaningful minutes than he will most likely see otherwise. In a word...experience. Late in the year and more specifically in the next couple of years, that would be a great side-effect of a bad circumstance.

So yes, it is worth being nervous that Roy had his knee scoped. But there is no need for the flood of, "The Blazers are snake-bit" or panic responses that are sometimes seen. He will be fine and so will the Blazers.